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2011 Trends and Outlook

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Wednesday, 10 November 2010 01:00
2011 Trends and Outlook - January  2011

outlook

"We will open the 2011 yearbook. Its pages are blank. We are going to put words on them ourselves. The title of the 2011 yearbook is "Opportunity" and its first chapter is …”

Though it is good to glance now and then in the rear view mirror our main focus should be looking forward.

It has been 10 years since the signing of the Agile Manifesto in Snowbird, just outside Salt Lake City, Utah.  Much has happened in the world of agile-lean product (system-software) development in the 10 years since.

It goes without saying agile-lean product development has gone mainstream and is now in what I am calling the globalization stage of its lifecycle.

The topic for this month’s edition of the Agile Journal is “2011 Trends and Outlook”.

Mario Moreira in his article, Sunny with a Chance of Agility – Agile Predictions for 2011, cleverly and insightfully focuses his predictions on:

  • Job security with Agile credentials
  • More structure with Agile deployments
  • Agile Tooling goes ALM

Dele Sikuade in his 12 part series, to be presented throughout 2011, will be examining the twelve principles of the Agile Manifesto; one principle per month during 2011. Though Dele has a great deal of admiration for the ideals that are expressed in the twelve principles he postulates they are misstated and are therefore widely misunderstood.

Dr. Ian Mitchell presents the second article in his two part series, PRINCE2 and Agility: Gearing for Balance. In last month’s article we looked at some of the problems that are commonly associated with agile methods when they are viewed in the context of process rigor. In this month’s article we will explore in more detail the remedial, standards-based approach adopted by Codeworks DEV.

Badri N Srinivasan is his article, Agile in the Blue Ocean, discusses the parallel between new customers being created in the Blue Ocean as explained in the Blue Ocean Strategy and the new relationships being generated and renewed when implementing agile methods as part of your software development life cycle; as the customer may still be the same but the subsequent relationship with the customer which is created will be different.

Geoffrey Bourne in his article, The Marriage of Lean, Scrum and Extreme Programming (XP): How to Align Agile Across an Organization, describes why he believe that we are on the verge of inventing a new way of looking at Agile: a maturation and simplification of Agile from numerous processes to a few or even one.

Ryan Fogarty in his article, Postmodernism in Software Development, discusses if we believe in the philosophy of postmodernism, we should also trust in the philosophy of agile software development. The belief in knowable truths, more than anything else, signifies the modern age and as we move into the future, technology presents us with a more dynamic environment that will force us to question prior assumptions.

In my article Agile Software Development – Past, Present, Future, I reflect upon and leverage what we know about and can learn from the past and present system-software development approaches and propose an updated version of the agile manifesto, based on today’s reality.

Kevin Parker in his article, Agile Lessons From "I Love Lucy", cleverly present how successfully moving to agile methodologies can significantly decrease the amount of time it takes to turn a business idea into software. But, he goes on to say this transformation must reach beyond application development. The PMO, IT Operations and even the business will need to change to make sure these changes are put into, production without disrupting operations.

I am looking forward to our journey together in 2011.

Take care.
Your agile buddy and editor,
Russell Pannone
Editor
Agile Journal


Featured articles...

sunny

Sunny with a Chance of Agility – Agile Predictions for 2011
by Mario Moreira
Happy New Year and the hope of a better year ahead. What is your Agile weather report?  Some have sunny Agile efforts ahead. Some are looking across the Agile landscape and into the clouds, some are looking to get introduced to agility, and others are considering strategies for Agile deployments.  As we gaze in the horizon, what do we think will be hot in the Agile landscape and improve our working lives? What might be some of the latest shifts in the Agile industry in the upcoming year?
Read More >>

Roadmap

Agile Manifesto – The Truth Behind Those Principles
by Dele Sikuade
In this series, I shall be examining the twelve principles of the Agile Manifesto, to tell you why they exist, for they did not appear out of thin air and are therefore in response to some need that we had or have. In the process, I shall also tell you why most of these principles are overly idealistic in their expression and what I think they really ought to say. I am not trying to tell anybody what is right or wrong, this is not a morality debate. I have a great deal of admiration for the ideals that are expressed in the twelve principles (or most of them anyway) it is just that they are misstated and are therefore widely misunderstood.
Read More >>



Balance

PRINCE2 and Agility: Gearing for Balance
by Ian Mitchell
Welcome to the second article in this two part series. Last month we looked at some of the problems that are commonly associated with Agile Methods when they are viewed in the context of process rigor. We saw that a reconciliation between emergent and prescriptive disciplines can be achieved via a model of orthogonal standards and frameworks. We contrasted that model with the more commonly assumed “continuum” hypothesis, which locates predictive and emergent processes at opposite ends of a methodological spectrum. This month we will explore in more detail the remedial, standards-based approach adopted by Codeworks DEV. We’ll show how a specialised, tool-supported, configurable toolset can be used to leverage Agile Methods across multiple PRINCE2 projects at both delivery and programme levels.
Read More >>

More articles...
Ocean
Agile in the Blue Ocean
by Badri N Srinivasan
Blue Ocean Strategy is a business strategy that was initially published in a book – “Blue Ocean Strategy” in 2005 and the founders of the strategy were W. Chan Kim and Renée Mauborgne of The Blue Ocean Strategy Institute at INSEAD, one of the top European business schools. The focus is on the creation of high growth and profits an organization can generate by creating new demand in an uncontested market space, or a "Blue Ocean", than by competing head-to-head with other suppliers for known customers in an existing industry (“Red Ocean”). Based on 15 years of research, the authors used 150 successful strategic moves spanning 120 years of business history and across 30 industries to bring the Blue Ocean Strategy theory to life.
Read More >>

Marriage
The Marriage of Lean, Scrum and Extreme Programming (XP): How to Align Agile Across an Organization
by Geoffrey Bourne
“If you don’t know where you’re going, you’ll end up somewhere else."
- Yogi Berra

Over the years, many flavors of Agile have emerged: Scrum, Lean, Feature Driven Development (FDD), Agile Unified Process (AUP) and Extreme Programming just to name a few. These methods have numerous complementary and distinguishing features, but the gamut of choices can be confusing and disorienting - as if being told to choose the best from 31 flavors of ice cream.  Return on Investment (ROI) is important to me, so Lean must be the answer.  But wait, I also want to be agile with my business priorities so I’ll choose Scrum.  On the other hand AUP facilitates scaling, so... we are left wanting a simple question answered: “Which Agile method should I choose for my organization?”

Read More >>

Postmodern

Postmodernism in Software Development
by Ryan Fogarty


Recent history has ushered in the postmodern era in all its fragmented glory. With its arrival comes the displacement of the absolute, the certain, and all that characterizes the modern age. Along with changes in art, politics, and philosophy— there are reverberations in business and technology. The societal shift from Modernism to Postmodernism mirrors and reinforces a shift in software development from traditional waterfall to non-linear Agile methods.
Read More >>


Time
Agile Software Development – Past, Present, Future
by Russell Pannone
I’ve come to realize system-software development methodologies have in common with nature the life span of infancy, childhood, adolescence, adulthood, and aging. I have also come to realize methodologies, sometimes as part of their life span, enter into a relationship or marriage with other methodologies; like has happened with Agile Software Development and Lean Manufacturing. Additionally, methodologies of the past and present have an associated taxonomy, new jargon and technical terminology or idiomatic expressions of the practitioner. They also tend to reuse old jargon but with different connotations.

Read More >>

Television
Agile Lessons From "I Love Lucy"
by Kevin Parker
An old "I Love Lucy" episode shows Lucy and Ethel working at a candy factory. Their job is to take pieces of candy off a conveyer belt and put them in packages. At first everything goes well. Lucy and Ethel have this candy packaging thing down pat. Alas, things start to change. The conveyer belt sends out candy faster and faster. At first Lucy and Ethel try to cope. They try to work faster. Then their work gets sloppy. Finally, rather than packaging the candy at all, they resort to throwing it away, or even eating it. A quick leap of the imagination would show retailers struggling to get the additional candy packages on the shelf, customers refusing to eat more candy just because there happens to be more available, and the factory management struggling to get their supply chain responsive to the faster manufacturing process. 
Read More >>

Last Updated on Wednesday, 12 January 2011 12:10
 
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